Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.001081 1.229584e-03 0.001379 0.001540 0.001708 0.001879 0.002064
2025-08-31 0.000859 1.071672e-03 0.001293 0.001539 0.001802 0.002074 0.002375
2025-09-07 0.000706 9.659981e-04 0.001246 0.001566 0.001915 0.002281 0.002692
2025-09-14 0.000543 8.317402e-04 0.001155 0.001534 0.001956 0.002405 0.002915
2025-09-21 0.000445 7.607860e-04 0.001127 0.001564 0.002059 0.002593 0.003204
2025-09-28 0.000384 7.260896e-04 0.001134 0.001631 0.002201 0.002820 0.003533
2025-10-05 0.000301 6.527364e-04 0.001090 0.001633 0.002265 0.002958 0.003762
2025-10-12 0.000242 6.033951e-04 0.001069 0.001659 0.002353 0.003121 0.004016
2025-10-19 0.000174 5.306534e-04 0.001013 0.001639 0.002385 0.003217 0.004194
2025-10-26 0.000124 4.757203e-04 0.000976 0.001637 0.002435 0.003332 0.004390
2025-11-02 0.000078 4.144513e-04 0.000924 0.001615 0.002459 0.003414 0.004547
2025-11-09 0.000044 3.639121e-04 0.000883 0.001602 0.002491 0.003505 0.004712
2025-11-16 0.000004 2.648691e-04 0.000777 0.001522 0.002463 0.003551 0.004857
2025-11-23 NaN 2.081703e-04 0.000726 0.001511 0.002520 0.003696 0.005117
2025-11-30 NaN 1.705589e-04 0.000700 0.001531 0.002614 0.003887 0.005431
2025-12-07 NaN 1.173209e-04 0.000637 0.001495 0.002637 0.003992 0.005647
2025-12-14 NaN 9.248209e-05 0.000619 0.001523 0.002738 0.004189 0.005967
2025-12-21 NaN 8.178405e-05 0.000629 0.001587 0.002886 0.004441 0.006351
2025-12-28 NaN 5.575256e-05 0.000596 0.001588 0.002951 0.004593 0.006618
2026-01-04 NaN 3.979481e-05 0.000581 0.001613 0.003046 0.004780 0.006924
2026-01-11 NaN 1.902801e-05 0.000538 0.001593 0.003080 0.004892 0.007142
2026-01-18 NaN 7.112376e-06 0.000509 0.001591 0.003136 0.005030 0.007388
2026-01-25 NaN 8.522925e-08 0.000469 0.001569 0.003164 0.005132 0.007591